DINAR IRAK

Overview\r\nA number of people have begun touting so-called "investment" opportunities in the Iraq Dinar as a "sure way" to make a lot of money with little or no risk. Many of our clients have asked our opinion on the legitimacy of this.\r\nIs "investing" in the Iraq Dinar a sure way to profit? We don''t think so. In our opinion, buying the Iraq Dinar is a high risk investment with a poor outlook.\r\n\r\nA Little History\r\nThe official rate of the old Iraq Dinar, $3.22 USD (U.S. Dollars), was set in 1982 by Saddam Hussein. The old Iraq Dinar could not be freely traded, so this rate was never tested or upheld on the world market.\r\nThe current Iraq Dinar (IQD) was introduced between October 2003 and January 2004 by the Coalition Provisional Authority in close consultation with financial experts from Iraq and the international community. The IQD is currently valued at a little less than seven hundredths of a US cent. (1 USD = 1460 IQD). The old "Saddam" Dinar has no current value and is worth only what a collector is willing to pay for it.\r\n\r\nWhat''s Happening Now?\r\nThe IQD is not freely traded, and is not being used in any significant international transactions. We are unaware of any official bank or foreign exchange office outside of the middle east that will exchange the IQD.\r\nThe IQD trades on a very small, tightly controlled exchange. The total volume of IQD traded by the Central Bank of Iraq is in the thousands of dollars, compared to the $1,900 billion dollars traded on the Foreign exchange market every day. This small number of trades makes the IQD''s value effectively immaterial.\r\nThe Central Bank of Iraq''s stated objective is not to promote the free trade of IQD, as is the case in a true free market economy, but rather to keep the value of the IQD stable. The only way the Bank can ensure the semblance of stability is by tightly controlling the exchange of IQD on the market, and by ensuring that the currency cannot freely trade on the open market. They evidently fear that open trading of the IQD would lead to a rout in which the value of the IQD would sink to practically nothing.\r\nConsider the situation. Why tightly control the trading of the IQD if it is likely to appreciate in value? If the value of the IQD were to surge, this could be held out as evidence of a surge of confidence in Iraq''s economy. So why not open the IQD to free trading? Why would this be done unless the Iraqi Central Bank itself feels that the IQD would decline in value in a free market?\r\n\r\nA Snapshot of Iraq Today\r\nThe current situation in Iraq is pretty grim:\r\n• Over a decade of international economic sanctions and a devastating war has left the infrastructure in tatters \r\n• $125 billion of external debt \r\n• Millions of dollars in post-war debt \r\n• No stable government \r\n• Insurgency steadily on the rise \r\n• Oil facilities and pipelines are sabotaged regularly \r\n• Many predict out-and-out civil war, such as the former Prime Minister of Iraq and the outgoing UK abmassador in Baghdad \r\nThese aren''t the kind of conditions typically conducive to the creation of booming economies. More to the point – a 450,000% increase in the value of the IQD (as predicted by some of its promoters) seems ridiculous in the face of these challenges.\r\n\r\nBut Surely There''s Oil Under Those Dunes?\r\nA lot of the hype over the IQD centers around Iraq''s vast oil reserves and their supposed economic value. The oil market is extremely unpredictable. An economy based on oil alone (oil makes up 95% of Iraq''s foreign exchange earnings), will mirror that unpredictability. Let''s look at a real-world example: Venezuela.\r\nOil accounts for 80% of Venezuela''s national exports and 50% of its government revenues. The country is one of the world''s top five oil producers. In the last four years, Venezuela has experienced intense political instability, including an oil strike and an attempted coup d''état. The resulting economic chaos has led to the extreme devaluation of the Venezuelan Bolivar – today, it is worth only about a third of its US Dollar value from January 2000, and only about a quarter of its Euro value from January 2000.\r\nInvesting in a country''s currency is tantamount to investing in that country''s economy as a whole, not in any single commodity. Investing in the Iraq Dinar is not the same as investing in Iraq''s oil.\r\n\r\nBut What About Kuwait?\r\nPromoters of the IQD like to compare Iraq now to post-Gulf War Kuwait – but this is comparing apples to oranges.\r\nBefore the Gulf War, Kuwait had a stable government and its foreign investments generated more income for its economy than its oil did. After the war, despite losing a third of its pre-war investment portfolio (over $100 billion USD), Kuwait still had a solvent economy, a stable government, and an intact infrastructure. It is not difficult to see why a currency''s value might increase in these circumstances.\r\nIn comparison, Iraq entered the war with a $125 billion USD debt, has almost no infrastructure, no stable government, and no other foreign income except its oil – the vulnerability and unpredictability of which we have already pointed out. The outlook for its economy and the IQD is grim for the foreseeable future.\r\nIn late 2004, the US was successful in convincing some foreign creditors to "forgive" some of Iraq''s debt. However, debt forgiveness is seldom a blessing, and generally comes at a very heavy price. Other countries whose foreign debts have been "forgiven" have found it nearly impossible to generate any foreign investment afterwards. Think about it: how would you feel about investing in Iraq again if you lost your entire investment (i.e. you "forgave" it) last time?\r\n\r\nIf it Sounds Too Good to be True…\r\nAsk yourself one question: if the Iraq Dinar is such a hot commodity, why would anyone in the know be willing to sell it to you? If you thought that the IQD was going to multiply in worth by hundreds of thousands of percent, would you sell it? Of course not – you''d be too busy buying as much of it as you could.\r\nBut if you thought that the IQD was going to go down in value over time, well, then you might start trying to convince people that it was a "great deal" so that you could get rid of all of yours as soon as possible.\r\nRemember the old saying: if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. Be careful!\r\n \r\nSource : http://www.xe.com/iqd.php\r\nKurs IDQ : http://www.xe.com/ucc/
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Barusan nemu ini, ada sedikit analisis dari sisi fundamentalnya: http://nofieiman.com/2008/02/peluang-investasi-dinar-iraq/ Lumayan tuh buat dibaca.
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Yg mau beli & penasaran ambil aja nominal kecil, kekepin deh kali naik cuan kan smile) kalo tetep atau ganti orde pemerintahan alias dinarnya bodong ya cuma rugi dikit smile
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Beli dinar gak sama dengan beli potensi minyaknya guys,….remember it. postnya suseno logic banget,….and postingan ini harusnya disebar luaskan biar gak banyak anak bangsa kita yang tertipu dan jatuh miskin. Negara kita yang gak kekurangan sumber daya alam aja apa currencynya bisa menguat dengan naiknya harga batubara and minyak bumi,..and rempah-rempahan. Currency gak semudah itu naik turunnya,….its simply supply and demand boss,……seberapa banyak orang yang akan pakai rupiah dinegeri kita compare to USD. Kalau pertamina beli minyak pake rupiah,…wahhh udah 5000an kali dari kapan tau,…kalau para importir mau dibayar pake rupiah juga IDR pasti naik kenceng. But the true is,….international tetep lebih percaya foreign currency such as USD and EURO, lah wong risk free rate international di International investment masih pakai T-Billsnya US,….so gak usah deh mau tertipu dengan rayuan gombal Dinar tentang potensi minyak dsb,……transaksi minyaknya pake USD kok. Kalau mau memutuskan untuk beli Dinar, lakukan analisa yang sama persis dalam melakukan FA saham, coba di analisa lagi kemampuan pemerintahan yang baru, dan analisa uangnya seperti menganalisa produk dari suatu perusahaan, apakah ada demandnya, analisa kemampuan cash/devisanya untuk menahan mata uangnya jika sudah diopen ke market dari serangan spekulan, lihat debt/equity rationya, dan yang paling penting nilai juga Iraq sebagai suatu institusi dimana masyarakatnya bisa dianggap seagai pekerja, apakah situasinya stabil, apakah sekarang bergejolak karena amerika aja, atau jangan2 sudah dari turun temurunnya mereka memang sudah gontok2an (SEPERTI Timur2), apakah dinegara seperti itu dalam waktu dekat bisa stabil jika diberlakukan sistem demokrasi seperti di amerika atau malahan memang pemimpin yang tegas dan keras (tapi tidak brutal seperti Sadam tentunya) yang dibutuhkan Iraq untuk meredam perbedaan etnis yang kronis …..selain itu juga analisa apakah masyarakat iraq percaya akan uangnya sendiri, apakah dunia bisnis di iraq cukup kuat dan fanatik dengan produk dalam negeri sehingga negara ini tidak tergantung dengan foreign currency. Kalau mata uang mau kuat coba bandingkan dengan kasusnya GBPnya british, Inggris terkenal dengan fanatismenya atas produk dalam negeri, dan negara ini terkenal sebagai net exporters secara agregat, nah ciri2 seperti inilah yang bisa menunjang kuatnya mata uang. Mudahnya,…..inggris nggak tergantung dengan mata uang luar, and masyarakatnya proud banget dengan mata uangnya. Kalau elo coba export barang ke Inggris mereka pasti akan minta dengan mata uang GBP,….bandingkan dengan Indonesia,…bandingkan juga dengan iraq. And gue gak setuju dengan beberapa pendapat gambling aja,…seburuk2nya bisa dapat koleksi …or else. Damn man,…ini klub saham bukan klub Judi, Moderator kok gak ditertibkan ya yang kayak2 gini…..jangan sampai KS jadi ajang penipuan and sarana promosi penipu !!!! Perbedaan mendasar Judi gak perlu analisa peluang 50:50, di klub ini gue yakin tetua and sesepuh kita selalu berinvestasi untuk probability diatas 50%……Kok kontras banget dengan thread2 yang membahas TA, FA, dll If only Indonesia bisa seperti ini someday,….masyarakat lebih pilih ayam kalasan dari pada McD, Sepatu Donatello dari pada Aldo Brue, Kemeja executive daripada Raoul, beli bensin di pertamina daripada di shell, and……….jadi net exporters minyak lagi tentunya ….AMINNN :kesel: :kesel: :kesel:
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Hahahaha… bole ikut nimbrung ni? kebetulan saya waktu d jkt jual dinar iraq jg… kata BOSS, mean tmpt saya ambil barang, dia org lgs bawa msk ke indo.. suru orang iraq ke indo 3 orang bawa 6KOPOR besar.. tentu itu jg main sogok sana sini… bgt critanya…
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gimana dengan perkembangan dinar irak ini? ada yang bisa bantu kaga?
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1 IQD = 7.6235 IDR Dari dolo segitu-segitu aja
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uang iraknya dah ganti baru belum ya? yang lama masih bisa pakai ga? Trims.
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jika us resesi maka 1 dinar irak - 0.5 USD
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Nokiasam1 beli yah ?
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