Ini hanya opini saya. Kalau Emas naik terus, komoditas lain pun ikut naik, termasuk minyak bumi. Kalau minyak bumi terlalu tinggi, ekonomi negara2 tertentu akan hancur2an karena biaya produksi tinggi, apa akan dibiarkan saja?. Terus kalau ekonomi jelek, siapa yang mau beli emas?. Minyak bumi terlalu tinggi juga bisa perang, kalau perang biasanya jual emas, otomatis emas akan turun. Jadi menurut saya adalah mustahil emas akan naik terlalu tinggi, sampai januari mungkin masih naik sedikit2. Tetapi setelah itu pasti turun. Yang jadi soal kapan waktu turunnya kan kita tidak tahu, jadi harus adu cepat turun dari kereta. Yang ketinggalan bisa2 cuci piring.
IMF Sells Gold to India, First Sale in Nine Years (Update1)\r\nShare Business ExchangeTwitterFacebook| Email | Print | A A A\r\n\r\nBy Sandrine Rastello and Kim Kyoungwha\r\n\r\nNov. 3 (Bloomberg) – The International Monetary Fund sold 200 metric tons of gold to the Reserve Bank of India for about $6.7 billion, its first sale of the precious metal in nine years.\r\n\r\nThe transaction, which involved daily sales from Oct. 19-30 at market prices, is in the process of being settled, the IMF said in a statement yesterday. The average price in the sales to India was about $1,045 an ounce, an IMF official said on a conference call with reporters. Gold for immediate delivery rose in Asia, approaching a record $1,070.80 an ounce.\r\n\r\n“The most important thing is that people want gold even at these prices,” said Ghee Peh, head of mining research, with UBS AG in Hong Kong. “There’s good support for prices for now” from the IMF’s disposal of bullion, he said.\r\n\r\nThe sale accounts for almost half the 403.3 tons that the Washington-based lender in September agreed to sell as part of a plan to shore up its finances and lend at reduced rates to low- income countries. Asian nations, which have amassed stockpiles of foreign currency reserves since the 1998 financial crisis, have shown increased interest in diversifying out of U.S. assets as the dollar loses value against other currencies.\r\n\r\nGold for immediate delivery rose 0.5 percent to $1,064.90 an ounce at 9:42 a.m. in Singapore. December-delivery gold jumped 1.1 percent to $1,065.40 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex division, the highest price for a most-active contract since Oct. 23 and approaching the Oct. 14 record of $1,072 an ounce.\r\n\r\n‘Positive’ for Gold\r\n\r\n“This is positive for the gold market, as bilateral sales which avoid the open spot market will avoid adding to marginal physical supply,” said David Barclay, a commodity strategist with Standard Chartered Bank in Hong Kong. “India’s purchases are arguably fresh buying since they were not a presence in the spot market before this.”\r\n\r\nProceeds from the sales and other IMF resources as well as individual contributors would help pay for discounted interest rates on loans to low-income countries, the IMF said in July. It plans to grant as much as $17 billion in extra loans to poor nations through 2014. The 403.3 tons the IMF agreed to sell amount to one-eighth of its stockpile.\r\n\r\n“This transaction is an important step toward achieving the objectives of the IMF’s limited gold sales program, which are to help put the fund’s finances on a sound long-term footing and enable us to step up much-needed concession lending to the poorest countries,” IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss- Kahn said in an e-mailed statement yesterday, regarding the sale to India.\r\n\r\nChina Demand\r\n\r\nChina, the world’s biggest gold producer, has increased reserves of the metal by 76 percent to 1,054 tons since 2003 and has the fifth-biggest holdings by country, Hu Xiaolian, head of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, said in April.\r\n\r\nThe nation may purchase some of the 403.3 tons of gold being offered by the IMF, Market News International reported in September, citing two unidentified government officials.\r\n\r\nThe lender has said it is ready to sell directly to central banks and later make transactions on the open market if necessary. The IMF official declined to say yesterday whether other central banks have expressed interest in purchases.\r\n\r\nThe IMF, which helped shore up economies from Pakistan to Iceland over the past year, has sold gold on several occasions in the past. The last transaction was authorized in December 1999 and took place off-market between then and April 2000.\r\n\r\nTo contact the reporters on this story: Sandrine Rastello in Washington at firstname.lastname@example.org; Kyoungwha Kim in Singapore at Kkim19@bloomberg.net.\r\nLast Updated: November 2, 2009 21:24 EST
Bro funda… ada pengaruhnya nggak kpd harga emas, dengan keluarnya berita tsb (jual beli emas partai besar antara india vs imf) ???
indikasinya jelas bullish
artinya: india berani borong emas di harga segitu …. :malu:
Orang India cuma mau beli kalau dia tahu barang itu good bargain.
India''s reputation with gold, has been that they buy low.
1045 may well be the floor support now.
Bukan itu saja, gold terhadap currency lain juga naik sejak mid Sept.
Kalo Rp/gram, support nya di Rp 320ribu.