Dow 20,000 Is Coming in 2014 or Early 2015

POLL : Are the markets overreacting to the Fed or is this an opportunity? They are overreacting (45800) - 46% This is an opportunity (23273) - 23% It''s too early to say (30901) - 31% Thank you for voting! http://finance.yahoo.com/
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Manic Monday: Rates Lead Stock Rebound Stocks were battered and beaten on Monday but they would not break. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) slumped nearly 2% before finding a low at 1,560 and then paring some losses. All three major averages closed out the manic session down 1%. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and NASDAQ (^IXIC) are all still up over 10% year-to-date. Here are two things you need to keep your eye on heading into Tuesday: 1. China is Crushing Emerging Markets The People''s Bank of China (PBOC) was behind this sell-off when it refused to inject liquidity into its banking system. "Commerical banks should pay close attention to the market liquidity situation," the PBOC helpfully suggested in a statement published on its website Monday. The Shanghai Composite (^SSEC) dropped more than 5% overnight and captured the headlines but the real damage is being done in the emerging markets. The iShares MSCI Emerging Market Index ETF (EEM) is down 19% in 2013 and 17% just since May 8th. 2. 10-year Treasury Yield Controls Stock Moves One month ago today the yield on U.S. 10-year notes (^TNX) stood at 2%. Today rates on the 10-year went as high as 2.67% in early trading before inching back over the course of the day. Equity traders have become atypically obsessed with the 10-year yield since Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke''s suggestion that the Fed would be "tapering" its quantitative easing program by the end of 2013 if the data warrants such optimism. The 10-year and stocks traded in anti-lockstep today. As rates moved lower during the session stocks moved back to nearly flat. As long as that relationship holds stocks won''t go anywhere without rates dropping.
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Waiting on a Bond Market Auction for Cues It''s been a while since the stock market hung on the outcome of a bond auction, but that''s the case now that rates are rising and auctions don''t promise to end smoothly. Mann said that has made the market a little concerned about the outcome of the 5-year auction, which is held at 1 p.m. Wednesday. Traders have been watching where rates will top out after rising since May 2, and accelerating after the Fed last week tipped that it may pare its bond buying program before the end of the year if economic data is strong enough. Besides the Treasury auction, there are weekly mortgage applications at 7 a.m. Traders are watching to see if mortgage applications for purchases fell, with rising mortgage rates. The 30-year mortgage rate have risen above 4 percent for the first time in a year, just several weeks ago. "If they look like they fell off a cliff, then people will say rising yields are affecting housing," said Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS. Housing has been a strong part of the economic recovery. But the market action itself may take a front seat. Greenhaus said he is still a buyer of equities and said the current correction could be about 7 to 9 percent. http://www.cnbc.com/id/100843342
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GDP dibawah perkiraan = ditarik. GDP diatas perkiraan = turun. Berita jelek market malah naik, berita bagus market malah turun. Semua juga tau klo GDP jelek QE tetap dipertahanin, tapi dampaknya bakal buruk ke financial system. Seharusnya sudah balik ke 4200. Tapi klo begini psikologis marketnya kok saya rasa bullish diperpanjang sampai keluarnya laporan Q2. Setelah itu go 4000. Gimana ini teman teman..?
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DOW climbs as GDP data eases fear of Fed pullback NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks rallied for a second day on Wednesday, recouping some recent losses on reduced concern that the Federal Reserve will begin to withdraw its stimulus in the near future. U.S. Treasury bond prices rose, causing bond yields to fall. Lower bond yields enhance the appeal of equities. The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) rose 149.83 points or 1.02 percent, to end at 14,910.14. The S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 15.23 points or 0.96 percent, to finish at 1,603.26. The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 28.34 points or 0.85 percent, to close at 3,376.22.
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DOW climbs as GDP data eases fear of Fed pullback NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks rallied for a second day on Wednesday, recouping some recent losses on reduced concern that the Federal Reserve will begin to withdraw its stimulus in the near future. U.S. Treasury bond prices rose, causing bond yields to fall. Lower bond yields enhance the appeal of equities. The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) rose 149.83 points or 1.02 percent, to end at 14,910.14. The S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 15.23 points or 0.96 percent, to finish at 1,603.26. The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 28.34 points or 0.85 percent, to close at 3,376.22. Pusing ikuti bursa amrik. Sebentar naik sebentar turun. Sen Cing Ping smile smile smile smile smile
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smile) DOW sideway diatas awan :applause: :mimpi: :-w :-w menunggu halilintar yg membuat hujan. sementara weekly mau menerobos naik ke atas, apa daya daily ga ada tenaga buat nariknya smile) ditunggu dengan sabar :-w :-w :-w
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smile) DOW sideway diatas awan :applause: :mimpi: :-w :-w menunggu halilintar yg membuat hujan. sementara weekly mau menerobos naik ke atas, apa daya daily ga ada tenaga buat nariknya smile) ditunggu dengan sabar :-w :-w :-w :applause: :applause:
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Scary 1929 market chart gains traction\r\nOpinion: If market follows the same script, trouble lies directly ahead\r\n\r\nBy Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch\r\n\r\nCHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — There are eerie parallels between the stock market’s recent behavior and how it behaved right before the 1929 crash.\r\n\r\nThat at least is the conclusion reached by a frightening chart that has been making the rounds on Wall Street. The chart superimposes the market’s recent performance on top of a plot of its gyrations in 1928 and 1929.\r\n\r\nThe picture isn’t pretty. And it’s not as easy as you might think to wriggle out from underneath the bearish significance of this chart. \r\n\r\nhttp://ei.marketwatch.com/Multimedia/2014/02/10/Photos/MG/MW-BU310_scary__20140210132547_MG.jpg\r\n\r\nI should know, because I quoted a number of this chart’s skeptics in a column I wrote in early December…. \r\n\r\nSelengkapnya di : hxxp://www.marketwatch.com/story/scary-1929-market-chart-gains-traction-2014-02-11 (hxxp ubah ke http)
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History doesn''t really repeat itself, people make it.
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