Gold

Wah makin berat aja mahar buat nikah hehhehe
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Gold Settles Above $1,405 After Grim US Jobs Report Published: Friday, 3 Dec 2010 | 5:49 PM ET by :Reuteres Gold rose almost 2 percent Friday, rising above $1,400 an ounce as the dollar tumbled after disappointing jobs data cast doubt on the strength of the U.S. economic recovery Bullion was up more than 3 percent this week, its biggest gain since April, pushed higher by lingering fears about a sprawling European debt crisis and fund buying in commodities across the board. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB index, a gauge of commodities performance, rose 5 percent, its biggest gain since October 2009. Gold breached above $1,400 for the first time since November after data showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls barely grew in November and the jobless rate unexpectedly hit a seven-month high. "The employment data today makes it more likely that the U.S. Congress is going to have to extend unemployment insurance and the tax cuts. The market sees that as more deficits spending, creating a more positive atmosphere for gold because the dollar is going down on it," said Tom Pawlicki, precious metals and energy analyst at MF Global. Pawlicki said the job report hardened the view that the Federal Reserve would stick to or even extend its $600 billion bond-buyback program to stimulate growth. The White House said the November unemployment data underscored the importance of extending tax cuts for middle-class Americans and unemployment insurance. Economists said the weak jobs report could give fresh impetus to get a deal done, as expiry of the tax cuts without offsetting stimulus elsewhere could deal a hard blow to the economy. Spot gold was last bid around $1,408 an ounce, against $1,384.75 late in New York on Thursday, on track for its biggest one-day rise since Nov. 4. U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled up $16.90 to end at $1,405.40 an ounce. Silver tracked gold higher, last trading up 2.7 percent around $29.29 an ounce. COMEX gold and silver volume was sharply lower than their 30-day average, as investors have completed contract rollover prior to December''s first notice day on Tuesday. Earlier this week, gold seemed to struggle to gain upward momentum for a new test of its record high at $1,424.10 an ounce set on Nov. 9, in spite of lingering worries that Europe''s debt crisis could spread to other countries following bailouts of Ireland and Greece. But weak U.S. data has given new momentum to gold. "It indicates we are not out of the woods yet in terms of what direction the U.S. economy is going to be heading," said Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen. "We saw a lift in gold and that probably stems from the continued recovery of the euro against the dollar," he said. The dollar dropped across the board after the bleak job picture, although persistent euro zone debt problems may limit losses, particularly against the euro. The metal has been asserting its inverse correlation with the dollar, after earlier this week moving in tandem with the greenback as investors bought both the metal and the U.S. currency as safe havens. Euro Zone Concerns Linger Gold is also supported by lingering concerns that the euro zone debt crisis could spread to Spain and Portugal. "The underlying issues haven''t really been resolved and there''s a general view that one way of resolving them is for the ECB to have a more accommodating monetary policy which is gold supportive," said Mitsubishi analyst Matthew Turner. Gold does well in a low interest environment, as this cuts the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing assets. Respected precious metals consultancy GFMS forecast silver would average around $30 an ounce in 2011, peaking at $35, while gold would peak at some $1,600-1,650 an ounce, and average $1,400. Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs said gold will climb to $1,690 an ounce in the next 12 months as the resumption of quantitative easing will keep U.S. real interest rates low. Platinum last touched $1,721.49, and palladium was last bid around $764.47, off a 9-year high of $776.22.
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wih….dah mau all time high lagi :-O
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Gold Prices Rise on Bernanke Easing Talk NEW YORK (TheStreet) – Gold prices settled in positive territory Monday after Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said that the Fed would consider expanding its quantitative easing program. In an interview with CBS'' 60 Minutes over the weekend, Bernanke signaled that the central bank could expand its $600 billion bond purchase program to address the high unemployment rate. "We''re not very far from the level where the economy is not self-sustaining," he told CBS. Fueling inflation sentiment, this announcement, coupled with ongoing uncertainty about the euro-zone''s ability to contain its debt crisis, helped gold futures finish in positive territory. Stocks, on the other hand, were dipping in the red during the regular trading session Monday as investors monitored the euro-zone and digested Bernanke''s words of caution on the economy and reports that lawmakers were still debating the extension of Bush-era tax cuts. According to The Associated Press, Bernanke said he hopes the Fed''s bond buying will lower bond yields and encourage investment in stocks – boosting business activity and economic growth in the country. The yellow metal''s rise had been kept in check with the stronger dollar. Gold for February delivery closed up $10.80 to $1,417 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gold price traded as high as $1,422.40 and as low as $1,409.80 Monday . The U.S. dollar index rose 0.2% to $79.54 while the euro fell 0.6% to $1.33 versus the dollar. The spot gold price was higher by $2, according to Kitco''s gold index. "With Big Ben … spouting that kind of stuff about the economy, and the possibility of more quantatative easing, I''m surprised at the dollar buying," said EverBank World Markets President Chuck Butler in a research note. "I guess it''s a bond buying thing, as yields on Treasuries have dropped from Friday morning''s levels." According to The Associated Press, Bernanke said fears that the Fed would be printing more money and taking inflation risks through its bond purchases was a "myth." He said the Fed isn''t printing money when buying Treasuries and the purchase won''t result in a significant expansion of money circulating in the market, AP reported. On Friday, Gold prices approached new highs, driven by a particularly disappointing November U.S. unemployment report. Investors fled for security through precious metals as the Labor Department reported that nonfarm jobs rose 39,000 as the private sector increased jobs by 50,000. The unemployment rate rose to 9.8%, the loftiest level since April. All the results were greatly below expectations. Gold mining stocks, a risky but potentially profitable way to buy gold, were trading in positive territory. Goldcorp was rising by 1.7% to $47.85 while Kinross Gold increased 2% to $19.12. Yamana Gold was tacking on 1.2% to $12.68 as Agnico-Eagle Mines added 2.3% to $86.97.
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Marc faber juga minta hajar kanan terus nih, katanya ga mungkin jatuh lagi di bawah 1000 smile\r\n———————————————————————————————————————————————————————— \r\n\r\nNov. 11 (Bloomberg) – Gold won’t fall below $1,000 an ounce again after rising 27 percent this year to a record as central banks print money to help fund budget deficits, said Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report.\r\n\r\nThe precious metal rose to all-time highs in New York and London today as the dollar weakened. The Dollar Index, a gauge of value against six other currencies, has declined 7.9 percent this year and today fell to a 15-month low. News last week of bullion purchases by the Indian and Sri Lankan governments raised speculation that other countries would follow suit.\r\n\r\n“We will not see less than the $1,000 level again,” Faber said at a conference today in London. “Central banks are all the same. They are printers. Gold is maybe cheaper today than in 2001, given the interest rates. You have to own physical gold.”\r\n\r\nChina will keep buying resources including gold, he said.\r\n\r\n“Its demand for commodities will go up and up and up,” he added. “Emerging economies will grow at the fastest pace.”\r\n\r\nIn contrast, Western countries will be lucky to avoid economic contraction, while the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates near zero percent, he said.\r\n\r\nREVIEW 2009\r\nHEBAT JUGA YAH MAC FARBER………..\r\nGAK KALAH AMA PAKAR KOMODITAS YANG SATU LAGI\r\nKenyataannya kita tidak pernah melihat gold setidaknya sampai dengan saat ini di bawah 1000 :peace:
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Marc Faber salah……, taksiran saya kita akan segera lihat $500 - $ 700/oz untuk tahun 2010. dec segera berlalu, 2011 segera datang………… Yakin dalam beberapa hari ke depan bisa 500-700 , Bung Imam Semar ? :-?
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Gold could fall 40% from peak 8 Jun 2010, 1900 hrs IST,REUTERS NEW YORK: The price of gold could drop 40 per cent from its all-time high because of bearish technical momentum and deflation amid a European debt crisis, said Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter on Monday. Prechter said at the Reuters Investment Outlook Summit in New York that recent readings of gold market psychology showed a 98 per cent bullishness in the metal, the highest ever recorded for any physical commodity. He said, however, that technical momentum was stalling for gold as the rate of increase had peaked in 2006, and that each subsequent rally since then has risen at a slower rate. "That is not a guarantee of change but a sign that one is likely." In January, he had forecast that gold could drop at least 40 per cent from its peak value because of deflation and over-ownership. Asked if Prechter still expected gold to correct 40 per cent, he said that extremes in technical indicators still "leave gold vulnerable to that large of a decline." "I still feel that gold is not going to the moon here. It''s not a market that you want to be long, just as you didn''t want to be long stock in the first quarter." banyak analis gagal total dalam memprediksi harga emas……… Anda kenal Prechter kan ? Beliau jago dalam elliot wave. Ini bukti bahwa ta itu cuman 10% aja betulnya :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
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Goldman Sachs 2011 Forecast: Stocks, Gold, Oil Higher While most of Goldman''s 2010 predictions on the U.S. stock market, commodities prices and economic growth have generally proven right on the money, its crystal ball was much more cloudy when it came to some key currency calls. One of Goldman''s top trades for 2010 proved a big loser. The firm''s currency strategists recommended shorting the New Zealand dollar and going long the British pound, saying at the time, "We are more bullish on Sterling, linked to a stronger cyclical momentum in response to a large easing in financial conditions." But the Kiwi has been strong performer this year on the strength of the country''s rising commodity prices. The analyst who made that call reportedly apologized to clients in a recent note, saying it may have results in losses of more 12 percent. Even Babe Ruth never batted a thousand. :peace:
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Gold could fall 40% from peak 8 Jun 2010, 1900 hrs IST,REUTERS NEW YORK: The price of gold could drop 40 per cent from its all-time high because of bearish technical momentum and deflation amid a European debt crisis, said Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter on Monday. Prechter said at the Reuters Investment Outlook Summit in New York that recent readings of gold market psychology showed a 98 per cent bullishness in the metal, the highest ever recorded for any physical commodity. He said, however, that technical momentum was stalling for gold as the rate of increase had peaked in 2006, and that each subsequent rally since then has risen at a slower rate. "That is not a guarantee of change but a sign that one is likely." In January, he had forecast that gold could drop at least 40 per cent from its peak value because of deflation and over-ownership. Asked if Prechter still expected gold to correct 40 per cent, he said that extremes in technical indicators still "leave gold vulnerable to that large of a decline." "I still feel that gold is not going to the moon here. It''s not a market that you want to be long, just as you didn''t want to be long stock in the first quarter." pake fundamental analysis dong kalo mau tentukan buy or sell emas. Ada krisis, kok harga emas malah bisa turun 70% ? Aneh bin ajaib :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: emang elliot wave itu bisa ngeramal harga emas ? emang technical analysis itu ketepatannya luar biasa ? saya tetap long on gold…….. untung gak ditakut takuti oleh nama besar si prechter :rofl: :rofl: Padahal bukunya saya ada baca juga . :rofl:
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Selagi momentum emas turun, aye posting artikel ini : Jim Sinclair, Analis Emas Terhebat Di Dunia Bagi para pemerhati komoditi dan forex, nama Jim Sinclair mungkin tidak asing lagi di telinga. Memang tidak banyak yang bisa digali dari profil tokoh ini secara personal, namun berbagai analisa dari pria berjuluk Mr Gold tersebut selalu menjadi referensi berharga bagi para investor. Predikat Mr Gold tentu tidak didapatnya secara kebetulan. Menurut Tim Riset dan Analis PT Monex Investindo Futures, Adi Nugroho, reputasi Sinclair sebagai spesialis logam mulia diawali pada periode 1970-an. "Sinclair pada waktu itu berhasil memprediksi momentum terjadinya bull market emas dengan akurasi luar biasa. Sejak saat itu, pasar keuangan mengakui keahliannya adalam hal analisa pergerakan komoditi logam," tuturnya seperti dikutip okezone dalam majalah Futuresmonthly edisi Mei, Sabtu (29/5/2010). arir gemilang Jim Sinclair dimulai pada 1977, saat ia mendirikan perusahaan pertamanya. Bisnis utama dari Sinclair Group bergerak di bidang jasa pengelolaan investasi. Seiring waktu berjalan, pertumbuhan unit usaha makin menggurita hingga ke luar negeri. Ekspansi perusahaan meluas dari New York hingga ke Toronto, London dan Jenewa. Akan tetapi, karena pertimbangan strategis, ia menjual perusahaan dan memilih bekerja pada Hunt Oil sebagai penasehat khusus logam sejak 1981 sampai 1984. Sinclair bertanggung jawab untuk melikuidasi posisi aset perak demi memenuhi pra-syarat bank sentral dalam proposal pinjaman senilai USD1 miliar. Pada April 2002, pemegang saham Royalty Exsploration menyetujui akuisisi anak perusahaannya sendiri, Tanzania American International. Sebelum finalisasi pengalihan tersebut, Tanzania American International dikelola oleh keluarga Sinclair. Meskipun kepemilikan penuh telah dikuasai induk usaha, Jim Sinclair tetap ditunjuk sebagai presiden perusahaan berbasis logam mulia ini. Perjalanan karir yang berliku semakin memperkaya daya analisa Sinclair pada bidang yang ia geluti. Pengalaman pada sektor komoditi emas, dituangkannya dalam berbagai artikel majalah bisnis dan tiga buku investasi yang ia tulis sendiri. Ia bahkan menerjemahkan korelasi pasar emas dengan variabel eksternal, seperti kondisi geo-politik dan ekonomi global. Analisa tajamnya dalam berbagai tulisan membuatnya diundang sebagai pembicara ahli dalam banyak forum, khususnya yang berkaitan dengan investasi logam mulia. Komentar dan pemikirannya terhadap pergerakan emas, kini telah menjadi panduan bagi investor di berbagai negara. Nama Jim Sinclair kini terpampang sebagai partner dan komite eksekutif dua firma pada New York Stock Exchange. Ia juga masih menduduki posisi pimpinan pada perusahaan dealer dan kliring komoditas, Sinclair Global Clearing Corporation dan Global Arbitrage. Pada bulan Januari 2003, Mr Gold merilis Jim Sinclair MineSet, sebagai suatu sarana konsultasi dan analisa interaktif bagi investor komoditi logam. Dalam forum ini, ia membagi pengetahuannya kepada publik secara gratis. Inisiatifnya mendapat sambutan kuas dari investor yang dalam beberapa tahun terakhir dilanda kebimbangan dalam berinvestasi. Ia dibanjiri pertanyaan, baik dari investor pemula maupun berpengalaman, mengenai proyeksi pergerakan emas. Guna memenuhi keingintahuan mereka, pada akhir 2009 lalu Sinclair mengeluarkan perkiraan harga emas berupa tantangan terbuka. Dia mengutarakan prediksi harga emas yang mampu mencapai level tinggi selama tren bullish berlangsung. Ia mengumumkan tantangan berhadiah USD1 juta bagi siapa yang berani mematahkan asumsinya bahwa emas akan menyentuh USD1650 sebelum minggu kedua 2011. Apabila sampai akhir minggu pertama Januari 2011 analisa tersebut tidak terbukti, maka dia akan memberikan hadiah tersebut kepada siapa saja yang berani menerima tantangannya. Meskipun dikenal sebagai figur yang kontroversial, sikap inilah yang membuat reputasinya sebagai Mr Gold semakin dihargai.(wdi) http://economy.okezone.com/read/2010/05/30/22/337567/22/jim-sinclair-analis-emas-terhebat-di-dunia akhir minggu pertama Januari 2011, gold towards 1650………. Kita lihat aja apakah Jim Sinclair akan sukses atau gagal…… Jika anda bisa mematahkan asumsinya, beliau akan memberikan usd 1 juta. Sapa yang berminat ? :hug:
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