Bursa Pagi: Global-Regional Lanjutkan Kenaikan, IHSG Berusaha Tembus Level 5.000

Bursa Pagi: Global-Regional Lanjutkan Kenaikan, IHSG Berusaha Tembus Level 5.000

Posted by Written on 03 July 2020


Ipotnews - Jelang akhir pekan, Jumat (3/7), bursa saham Asia dibuka menguat, melanjutkan tren positif pada penutupan bursa saham utama Eropa dan Wall Street/ Laju indeks didukung data penggajian non pertanian AS yang menunjukkan peningkatan signifikan.

Indeks MSCI Asia ex-Jepang bertambah 0,13%. Investor menunggu rillis indeks PMI sektor jasa China dari Caixin/Markit, hari ini. Pasar keuangan AS hari ini tutup, merayakan Hari Kemerdekaan 4 Juli.

Perdagangan saham global hari ini dibuka dengan mencatatkan kenaikan indeks ASX 200, Australia sebesar 0,33%, diwarnai penurunan harga minyak pada pembukaan pasar Asia. Indeks melaju 0,91% (55,10 poin) ke level 6.087,80 pada pukul 8:25 WIB.

Pada jam yang sama indeks Nikkei 225, Jepang meningkat 0,52% (115,11 poin) ke posisi 22.261,07, setelah dibuka melaju 0,55%, Topix juga dibuka naik 0,55%. Indeks Kospi, Korea Selatan juga dibuka naik 0,46%, dan berlanjut bertambah 0,32% menjadi 2.142,11.

Indeks Hang Seng, Hongkong dibuka melaju 0,78% (195,09 poin) ke level 25.319,28 pada pukul 8:35 WIB. Indeks Shanghai Composite, China naik 0,43% menjadi 3.104,43.

Pembukaan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan ( IHSG ) pagi ini dihadapkan pada tren kenaikan indeks di bursa saham global dan regional, setelah berhasil mempertahankan manuvernya di zona hijau dengan membukukan kenaikan 1,07% ke leve 4.966. Harga ETF saham Indonesia ( EIDO ) di New York Stocks Exchange naik 1,43% menjadi USD18,50.

Beberapa analis memperkirakan pergerakan IHSG hari ini akan berusaha melanjutkan proses kenaikan melanjutkan  bullish trend line , untuk menembus level psikologis 5.000. Secara teknikal, beberapa indikator pergerakan indeks memperlihatkan adanya potensi penguatan, dengan bergerak di area positif menuju jenuh beli.

Tim Riset Indo Premier berpendapat, rilis data tenaga kerja AS bulan Juni yang lebih baik dari ekspektasi seiring dengan proses pemulihan ekonomi dari dampak negatif pandemi Covid-19 diprediksi akan menjadi sentimen positif. Sementara itu menguatnya beberapa harga komoditas seperti minyak mentah, cpo, batubara, nikel, timah dan emas berpeluang menjadi tambahan sentimen positif di pasar.

IHSG diprediksi akan melanjutkan penguatannya dengan  support  di level 4,910 dan  resistance  di level 5,020. 

Beberapa ekuitas yang direkomendasikan, antara lain;

  • Saham: TLKM (Buy). Support: Rp3,050, Resist: Rp3,230, SMRA (Buy). Support: Rp600 Resist: Rp690, 

    ADHI (Buy). Support: Rp620 Resist: Rp705, TINS (Buy). Support: Rp595 Resist: Rp645.

  • ETF: XPDV (Buy). Support: Rp369, Resist: Rp377, XPLC (Buy). Support: Rp380, Resist: Rp390, XMTS
     (Buy). Support: Rp401, Resist: Rp413.

Amerika Serikat dan Eropa

Perdagangan saham di bursa Wall Street pagi tadi berakhir menguat, menyusul laporan ketenagakerjaan AS yang lebih baik dari perkiraan ketika ekonomi berupaya untuk pulih kembali dari pandemi virus korona. 

Pemerintah melaporkan penciptaan 4,8 juta pekerjaan sepanjang periode Juni, jauh melebihi ekspektasi 2,9 juta lapangan kerja. Tingkat pengangguran turun menjadi 11,1% dari 13,3% pada Mei, lebih rendah dari ekspektasi 12,4%. Analis mengatakan, laporan data ketenagakerjaan menunjukkan bahwa kondisi membaik di Main Street, tidak hanya di Wall Street. Namun Departemen Tenaga Kerja AS mengatakan klaim pengangguran awal naik 1,427 juta pada pekan lalu, melebihi ekspektasi 1,48 juta. Jumlah penerima tunjangan pengangguran, naik selama beberapa pekan beruntun meningkat sekitar 59.000 menjadi 19,29 juta.

Sepanjang pekan ini Dow Jones melonjak 3,3%, dan S&P 500 melesat 4%. Nasdaq melambung 4,6%. Pasar AS akan tutup pada Jumat ini untuk liburan 4 Juli. Saham Boeing berkontribusi pada kenaikan tersebut, meningkat 0,6% setelah menyelesaikan sertifikasi ulang 737 Max. Laju indeks utama Wall Street melambat setelah Florida melaporkan lonjakan satu hari lebih dari 10.000 kasus virus korona. Secara keseluruhan AS melaporkan rekor lonjakan kasus lebih dari 50.000. Saham United Airlines dan American melemah. Saham kapal pesiar Carnival, Norwegian Cruise Line dan Royal Caribbean, masing-masing anjlok setidaknya 2,6%.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average naik 0,36% (92,39 poin) menjadi 25.827,36.

  • Nasdaq Composite Index meningkat 0,52% (53,00 poin) ke level 10.207,63.

  • S&P 500 bertambah 0,45% (14,15 poin) ke posisi 3.130,01.
Bursa saham utama Eropa tadi malam ditutup menguat tajam di tengah berita positif seputar potensi vaksin virus korona dan data ketenagakerjaan AS yang lebih baik dari perkiraan. Uji coba tahap awal pada manusia terhadap satu dari empat calon vaksin yang dikembangkan Pfizer dan BioNTech menunjukkan kemampuan menciptakan antibodi penawar. AS menambahkan 4,8 juta pekerjaan pada Juni dibandingkan ekspektasi kenaikan 3 juta. Namun di Eropa, tingkat pengangguran zona euro pada Mei tercatat 7,4%, naik dari 7,3% pada April.

Indeks STOXX 600 melesat 1,97% menjadi 368,29, dipimpin lonjakan harga saham perbankan sebesar 4,5%. Saham Meggitt melesat lebih dari 6% setelah perusahaan  engineering  itu menyatakan harapan pemulihan dalam bisnis kedirgantaraan. Sebaliknya saham perusahaan pengemasan, DS Smith, anjlok lebih dari 7%.

  • DAX 30 Jerman melejit 2,84% (347,89 poin) ke level 12.608,46.

  • FTSE 100 Inggris meningkat 1,34% (82,40 poin) menjadi 6.240,36.

  • CAC 40 Prancis melonjak 2,49% (122,44 poin) ke posisi 5.049,38.

Nilai Tukar Dolar AS

Nilai tukar dolar AS terhadap sejumlah mata uang dunia di pasar uang New York pagi tadi berakhir juga menguat, mendapatkan kembali daya tariknya sebagai safe haven. Investor mengkhawatirkan lonjakan kasus virus korona di AS akan dapat menghapus kenaikan lapangan kerja musim panas. Pasar keuangan AS akan ditutup, Jumat, untuk merayakan Hari Kemerdekaan 4 Juli. Dolar melorot pada sesi awal karena selera risiko meningkat setelah data menunjukkan bahwa ekonomi AS dapat menciptakan lapangan kerja pada Juni dengan laju yang jauh lebih cepat ketimbang perkiraan pasar.

Data penggajian non-pertanian AS meningkat 4,8 juta pekerjaan pada Juni, tertinggi sejak AS memulai pencatatan pada 1939. Tingkat pengangguran turun menjadi 11,1% bulan lalu dari 13,3% pada Mei.Tetapi optimisme itu menyusut di tengah laporan kenaikan lebih dari 10.000 kasus Covid-19 baru di Florida. Sehari sebelumnya, jumlah kasus secara nasional melonjak hampir 50.000. Keduanya merupakan rekor kenaikan tertinggi. Indeks Dolar (Indeks DXY) naik 0,12% menjadi 97,317.


Nilai Tukar Dolar AS di Pasar Spot

CurrencyValueChange% ChangeTime (ET)
Euro (EUR-USD)1.12390.000.00%7:27 PM
Poundsterling (GBP-USD)1.2467-0.0001-0.01%7:27 PM
Yen (USD-JPY)107.530.03+0.03%7:27 PM
Yuan (USD-CNY)7.0669-0.0037-0.05%11:29 AM
Rupiah (USD-IDR)14,377.5095.00+0.67%3:57 AM

Sumber : Bloomberg.com, 2/7/2020 (ET)


Komoditas

Harga minyak mentah West Texas Intermediate dan Brent North Sea di bursa komoditas New York Mercantile Exchange dan London ICE Futures Exchanges hingga pagi tadi ditutup menguat. Harga minyak melambung lebih dari 2%, didukung penurunan pengangguran di AS, dan penurunan stok minyak mentah. Namun lonjakan kasus infeksi virus korona di AS, yang melesat hampir 50.000, memicu kekhawatiran bahwa aktivitas ekonomi akan melemah dalam beberapa pekan mendatang. Banyak negara bagian menyarankan warganya untuk membatasi pergerakan serta menutup kembali bisnis dan restoran, sehingga dapat menghambat pertumbuhan lapangan kerja.

Badan Informasi Energi AS mengungkapkan persediaan minyak mentah AS turun 7,2 juta barel dari rekor tertinggi pekan lalu. Lonjakan kasus Covid-19 di beberapa negara bagian yang berpopulasi cukup padat, dapat menekan permintaan bahan bakar menjelang liburan akhir pekan 4 Juli. Perusahaan energi Amerika memangkas jumlah rig minyak dan gas yang beroperasi ke rekor terendah selama sembilan pekan berturut-turut, menurut Baker Hughes Co. Pedagang mengatakan kenaikan data penggajian non-pertanian AS dapat mengurangi stimulus federal bagi perekonomian.

  • Harga minyak mentah berjangka Brent naik USD1,1 (2,64%) menjadi USD43,14 per barel.

  • Harga minyak mentah berjangka WTI naik 83 sen (2,08%) menjadi USD40,65 per barel.
Harga emas di bursa berjangka COMEX New York Mercantile Exchange pagi tadi ditutup dengan menguat tipis, di tengah pelemahan dolar AS. Prospek pemulihan ekonomi membaik setelah data menunjukkan ekonomi AS mencatatkan rekor penciptaan 4,8 juta pekerjaan pada Juni.Namun The Fed terus menghidupkan janji untuk mempertahankan suku bunga yang rendah sampai kondisi tertentu terpenuhi, sehingga mendukung harga emas.

Meski tidak memberikan imbal hasil/bunga, harga emas sudah melesat 17% sepanjang tahun ini. Harga logam lainnya; palladium datar di posisi USD1.905,10 per ounce, platinum turun 0,7% menjadi USD810,10, sedangkan perak naik 0,2% menjadi USD17,97.

  • Harga emas di pasar spot naik 0,3% menjadi USD1.775,66 per ounce.

  • Harga emas berjangka meningkat 0,4% menjadi USD1.787,50 per ounce.

(AFP, CNBC , Reuters)

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#IPOTKaryaAnakBangsa 

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